Where the market is wrong on Shandong Luneng v SHANGHAI SIPG
Shandong Luneng meet SHANGHAI SIPG in the FA Cup quarter-finals at Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1581, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 63%. Attacking output favors Shandong Luneng on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.6 per match.
Shandong Luneng arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 v SHANGHAI SIPG, W 3-2 @ Shanghai Shenhua, L 0-2 @ Qingdao Youth Island, W 3-1 v Qingdao Jonoon.
SHANGHAI SIPG are surging: 4W-1D-0L from their last five (13/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Shandong Luneng, W 1-0 @ Sichuan Jiuniu, W 2-1 v Qingdao Jonoon, D 1-1 v Dalian Zhixing.
SHANGHAI SIPG hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Shandong Luneng 0-3 SHANGHAI SIPG.
The market prices SHA at 40% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
