Where the market is wrong on União Leiria U23 v Benfica U23
União Leiria U23 meet Benfica U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 regular season - 6.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 45% against 40%. Attacking output favors União Leiria U23 on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.4 per match.
União Leiria U23 arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 6 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Benfica U23, L 0-2 @ Estrela U23, W 2-0 v Marítimo U23, W 2-1 @ Leixões U23.
Benfica U23 are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ União Leiria U23, L 0-1 v Vizela U23, L 1-2 v Academico Viseu U23, L 1-4 @ Sporting CP U23.
Benfica U23 hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: União Leiria U23 1-2 Benfica U23.
The market prices UNI at 33% implied. Our number sits apart on União Leiria U23: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output