Tensung v Paro: the model read
Tensung meet Paro in the Premier League regular season. The model makes Paro the most likely outcome at 63%, with the full read 15% TEN, 22% draw, 63% PAR.
Paro rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1673 to 1400. Recent form leans Paro, 73% against 23%. Attacking output favors Paro on expected goals, 4.0 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 42%, over 2.5 goals around 83%. Draw no bet leans Paro at 80%; double chance reads Tensung or draw 37%, Paro or draw 85%.
Tensung arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Paro, L 0-4 v Thimphu City, L 0-4 @ Paro, L 0-1 v Thimphu.
Paro are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 16 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 v Thimphu, W 3-1 @ Tensung, W 5-1 @ Thimphu, W 4-0 v Tensung.
Paro hold the recent head-to-head, 8 wins to 0 across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tensung 1-3 Paro.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 59 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
