Mafra v Lusitano Évora 1911: the model read
Mafra meet Lusitano Évora 1911 in the Liga 3 regular season - 12 at Estadio Municipal de Mafra, Mafra. The model makes Lusitano Évora 1911 the most likely outcome at 34%, with the full read 33% MAF, 32% draw, 34% LUS.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 50%. Attacking output favors Mafra on expected goals, 1.3 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 40%, over 2.5 goals around 32%. Draw no bet leans Lusitano Évora 1911 at 51%; double chance reads Mafra or draw 66%, Lusitano Évora 1911 or draw 67%.
Mafra arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Alverca, L 2-3 @ FC Fredericia, W 2-0 @ Esbjerg, L 1-3 @ CF Os Belenenses.
Lusitano Évora 1911 are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Benfica B, L 0-1 v Atlético CP, W 2-1 @ Amora, W 1-0 v SC Covilha.
Lusitano Évora 1911 hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2025: Mafra 1-1 Lusitano Évora 1911.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
