Where the market is wrong on Hanwell Town v Chichester City
Hanwell Town meet Chichester City in the Non League Premier - Southern South regular season - 5.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chichester City, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Chichester City on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.1 per match.
Hanwell Town arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 2 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Berkhamsted, L 0-2 v Chichester City, L 0-1 @ Gloucester City, D 0-0 v Sholing.
Chichester City are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 10 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Havant & Wville, W 2-0 @ Hanwell Town, W 4-0 v Chippenham Town, L 0-3 @ Evesham United.
Chichester City hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hanwell Town 0-2 Chichester City.
The market prices HAN at 50% implied. Our number sits apart on Chichester City: a 15.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 82 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
