Ilkeston Town v Stockton Town: the model read
Ilkeston Town meet Stockton Town in the Non League Premier - Northern regular season - 1. The model makes Ilkeston Town the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% ILK, 31% draw, 32% STO.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 53%. Attacking output favors Ilkeston Town on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 53%, over 2.5 goals around 49%. Draw no bet leans Ilkeston Town at 53%; double chance reads Ilkeston Town or draw 68%, Stockton Town or draw 63%.
Ilkeston Town arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Worksop Town, W 3-2 v United of Manchester, D 0-0 @ Stocksbridge Park Steels, W 2-0 v Bamber Bridge.
Stockton Town are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Darlington 1883, L 0-2 @ Hednesford Town, W 2-1 @ Rylands, D 1-1 @ United of Manchester.
Stockton Town hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Ilkeston Town 0-1 Stockton Town.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
