Where the market is wrong on Forfar Athletic v Dundee United II
Forfar Athletic meet Dundee United II in the Challenge Cup group stage - 5 at Station Park, Forfar.
The baseline ratings are close, 1420 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Forfar Athletic, 38% against 22%. Attacking output favors Forfar Athletic on expected goals, 0.8 to 0.8 per match.
Forfar Athletic arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Dundee United II, L 0-2 v Peterhead, W 1-0 v Annan Athletic, L 1-5 @ Spartans.
Dundee United II are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Forfar Athletic, L 0-1 @ Edinburgh City, W 3-2 @ Formartine United, L 0-2 @ Cove Rangers.
Forfar Athletic hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Forfar Athletic 2-1 Dundee United II.
The market prices FOR at 65% implied. Our number sits apart on Dundee United II: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
