Where the market is wrong on Levadiakos v Panathinaikos
Levadiakos meet Panathinaikos in the Super League 1 regular season - 2 at Levadias Stadium, Levadia.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Panathinaikos, 58% against 40%. Attacking output favors Panathinaikos on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.2 per match.
Levadiakos arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 5 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Panathinaikos, L 0-4 @ PAOK, W 2-0 v Asteras Tripolis, L 0-3 @ Aris Thessalonikis.
Panathinaikos are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Levadiakos, W 2-1 @ Hradec Králové, D 2-2 v Hradec Králové, W 2-1 @ CSKA 1948.
The market prices LEV at 17% implied. Our number sits apart on Levadiakos: a 10.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
