Where the market is wrong on PAOK v Levadiakos
PAOK meet Levadiakos in the Super League 1 regular season - 1 at Toumba Stadium, Thessaloniki.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 53% against 45%. Attacking output favors PAOK on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 70%, over 2.5 goals around 77%. Draw no bet leans PAOK at 61%; double chance reads PAOK or draw 72%, Levadiakos or draw 56%.
PAOK arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 2-3 @ Brann, W 4-0 v Levadiakos, D 1-1 v Brann, L 2-3 @ Anderlecht.
Levadiakos are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ PAOK, W 2-0 v Asteras Tripolis, L 0-3 @ Aris Thessalonikis, W 3-2 v OFI.
The market prices PAO at 67% implied. Our number sits apart on Levadiakos: a 15.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
