Where the market is wrong on SC Freiburg W v Mainz 05 W
SC Freiburg W meet Mainz 05 W in the Frauen Bundesliga regular season - 4 at Dreisamstadion, Freiburg.
Mainz 05 W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1627 to 1477. Recent form leans Mainz 05 W, 65% against 45%. Attacking output favors Mainz 05 W on expected goals, 2.8 to 1.4 per match.
SC Freiburg W arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Mainz 05 W, L 1-4 @ Bayern Munich W, W 1-0 v Union Berlin W, D 1-1 @ Hamburger SV W.
Mainz 05 W are patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 6 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ SC Freiburg W, L 0-4 v FC Koln W, L 0-2 @ Bayern Munich W, L 1-2 v Werder Bremen W.
SC Freiburg W hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: SC Freiburg W 3-0 Mainz 05 W.
The market prices SC at 74% implied. Our number sits apart on Mainz 05 W: a 41.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 86 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
