Mes Rafsanjan v Sanat Naft: the model read
Mes Rafsanjan meet Sanat Naft in the Persian Gulf Pro League relegation - final at Shohadaye Sanat Mes Stadium, Tafresh. The model makes Sanat Naft the most likely outcome at 44%, with the full read 21% MES, 34% draw, 44% SAN.
Sanat Naft rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1589 to 1400. Recent form leans Sanat Naft, 63% against 32%. Attacking output favors Sanat Naft on expected goals, 1.2 to 0.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 16%, over 2.5 goals around 19%. Draw no bet leans Sanat Naft at 68%; double chance reads Mes Rafsanjan or draw 56%, Sanat Naft or draw 79%.
Mes Rafsanjan arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 2 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Esteghlal FC, W 2-0 @ Paykan, L 0-1 v Esteghlal Khuzestan, L 0-2 @ Shams Azar Qazvin.
Sanat Naft are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 8 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Niroye Zamini, W 1-0 v Mes Kerman, W 4-1 @ Navad Urmia, D 0-0 @ Naft Bandar Abbas.
Mes Rafsanjan hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2024: Sanat Naft 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
