Zenit v Spartak Moscow: the model read
Zenit meet Spartak Moscow in the Super Cup final at Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod. The model makes Zenit the most likely outcome at 43%, with the full read 43% ZEN, 32% draw, 24% SPA.
Zenit rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1742 to 1604. Recent form leans Zenit, 85% against 65%. Attacking output favors Zenit on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 28%, over 2.5 goals around 29%. Draw no bet leans Zenit at 64%; double chance reads Zenit or draw 76%, Spartak Moscow or draw 57%.
Zenit arrive in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts), 14 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 5-0 @ Akron, D 1-1 v Spartak Moscow, D 1-1 v Dinamo Makhachkala, W 3-1 v FK Crvena Zvezda.
Spartak Moscow are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 v Rodina Moskva, D 1-1 @ Zenit, L 0-2 @ Lokomotiv, D 0-0 v Rubin.
Zenit hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 1 with 6 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Zenit 1-1 Spartak Moscow.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
