US Mondorf-les-bains v Progres Niederkorn: the model read
US Mondorf-les-bains meet Progres Niederkorn in the National Division regular season - 5 at Stade John Grun, Mondorf-les-Bains.
US Mondorf-les-bains rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1615 to 1408. Recent form leans US Mondorf-les-bains, 65% against 35%. Attacking output favors US Mondorf-les-bains on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.3 per match.
US Mondorf-les-bains arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Progres Niederkorn, W 3-1 @ AS Jeunesse Esch, W 1-0 v F91 Dudelange, W 3-2 @ Victoria Rosport.
Progres Niederkorn are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ US Mondorf-les-bains, L 0-1 v UNA Strassen, W 4-0 @ Atert Bissen, W 1-0 @ Résidence Walferdange.
Progres Niederkorn hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 1 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: US Mondorf-les-bains 2-1 Progres Niederkorn.
The market prices US at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on US Mondorf-les-bains: a 2.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
