Where the market is wrong on Tonbridge Angels v Walton & Hersham
Tonbridge Angels meet Walton & Hersham in the National League - South national league south - 6 at Longmead Stadium, Tonbridge.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tonbridge Angels, 57% against 40%. Attacking output favors Tonbridge Angels on expected goals, 1.7 to 1.4 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 63%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Tonbridge Angels at 62%; double chance reads Tonbridge Angels or draw 73%, Walton & Hersham or draw 56%.
Tonbridge Angels arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 @ Billericay Town, L 0-2 v Truro City, W 1-0 @ Dover, L 1-2 v Torquay.
Walton & Hersham are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 2 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 v Dorking Wanderers, L 0-2 @ Chesham United, L 0-2 v Dagenham & Redbridge, L 0-3 v Maidstone Utd.
The market prices TON at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Walton & Hersham: a 6.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output