Where the market is wrong on Worksop Town v Bedford Town
Worksop Town meet Bedford Town in the National League - North national league north - 8 at Sandy Lane Stadium, Worksop.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1592, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 63%. Attacking output favors Worksop Town on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Worksop Town arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts), 3 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Bedford Town, W 1-0 @ Marine, L 0-1 v Oxford City, L 1-3 @ Spalding United.
Bedford Town are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Worksop Town, W 1-0 v Radcliffe, W 1-0 @ AFC Telford United, W 3-1 v Spennymoor Town.
Bedford Town hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 1 across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Worksop Town 1-2 Bedford Town.
The market prices WOR at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
