Where the market is wrong on Stuttgart II v SSV Jahn Regensburg
Stuttgart II meet SSV Jahn Regensburg in the 3. Liga regular season - 7 at WIRmachenDRUCK Arena, Aspach.
The baseline ratings are close, 1468 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 42% against 48%. Attacking output favors Stuttgart II on expected goals, 2.0 to 1.8 per match.
Stuttgart II arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Preußen Münster, W 2-1 @ Würzburger Kickers, L 0-1 @ Fortuna Düsseldorf, L 1-3 v FC Viktoria Köln.
SSV Jahn Regensburg are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts), 5 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Fortuna Düsseldorf, D 2-2 @ Alemannia Aachen, L 1-2 v MSV Duisburg, L 1-5 @ Hoffenheim II.
The market prices STU at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
