Where the market is wrong on Kolos Kovalivka II v SK Poltava
Kolos Kovalivka II meet SK Poltava in the Persha Liga regular season - 5 at Kolos Stadium, Kovalivka.
Kolos Kovalivka II rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1535 to 1400. Recent form leans Kolos Kovalivka II, 53% against 34%. Attacking output favors Kolos Kovalivka II on expected goals, 1.5 to 0.9 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 59%. Draw no bet leans Kolos Kovalivka II at 66%; double chance reads Kolos Kovalivka II or draw 76%, SK Poltava or draw 53%.
Kolos Kovalivka II arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 3 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v SK Poltava, L 1-3 @ Yarud Mariupol', L 1-2 v Ahrobiznes Volochysk, L 0-2 @ Viktoriya Mykolaivka.
SK Poltava are in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 5 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Kolos Kovalivka II, D 0-0 @ Mayak Sarny, D 0-0 v UCSA, W 3-0 @ Yarud Mariupol'.
The market prices KOL at 25% implied. Our number sits apart on Kolos Kovalivka II: a 22.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output