Spain v Belgium: the model read
Spain meet Belgium in the World Cup quarter-finals at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles.
The baseline ratings are close, 1758 to 1673, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Spain, 87% against 75%. Attacking output favors Belgium on expected goals, 3.0 to 2.3 per match.
Spain arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 9 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Argentina, W 2-0 @ France, W 2-1 v Belgium, W 1-0 @ Portugal.
Belgium are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 13 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Spain, W 4-1 @ USA, W 3-2 v Senegal, W 5-1 @ New Zealand.
Spain hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Spain 2-1 Belgium.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
