Where the market is wrong on Tlaxcala v CDS Tampico Madero
Tlaxcala meet CDS Tampico Madero in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 8 at Estadio Tlahuicole, Tlaxcala.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans CDS Tampico Madero, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors Tlaxcala on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.2 per match.
Tlaxcala arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v CDS Tampico Madero, D 1-1 @ Durango, W 3-1 v Venados FC, L 2-3 @ Tepatitlán.
CDS Tampico Madero are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Tlaxcala, W 4-3 v Venados FC, L 0-2 @ Mineros de Zacatecas, W 2-1 v Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Tlaxcala hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 with 3 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Tlaxcala 3-1 CDS Tampico Madero.
The market prices TLA at 39% implied. Our number sits apart on CDS Tampico Madero: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 65 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
