Where the market is wrong on Mineros de Zacatecas v Correcaminos Uat
Mineros de Zacatecas meet Correcaminos Uat in the Liga de Expansión MX apertura - 1 at Estadio Carlos Vega Villalba, Zacatecas. The model makes Mineros de Zacatecas the most likely outcome at 41%, with the full read 41% MIN, 29% draw, 30% COR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1466 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mineros de Zacatecas, 45% against 30%. Attacking output favors Mineros de Zacatecas on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 66%, over 2.5 goals around 69%. Draw no bet leans Mineros de Zacatecas at 58%; double chance reads Mineros de Zacatecas or draw 70%, Correcaminos Uat or draw 59%.
Mineros de Zacatecas arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 9 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 v Correcaminos Uat, L 0-4 @ Atletico San Luis, L 1-3 v FC Juarez, L 4-7 @ Leon.
Correcaminos Uat are out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 8 scored and 15 conceded. Recent results: D 3-3 @ Mineros de Zacatecas, D 0-0 v Guadalajara Chivas, L 3-6 v Necaxa, L 1-3 v Alebrijes de Oaxaca.
Mineros de Zacatecas hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 1 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mineros de Zacatecas 3-3 Correcaminos Uat.
The market prices MIN at 62% implied. Our number sits apart on Correcaminos Uat: a 13.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
