Caerau (Ely) v Swansea University: the model read
Caerau (Ely) meet Swansea University in the FAW Championship south - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1582 to 1546, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 62% against 55%. Attacking output favors Caerau (Ely) on expected goals, 2.3 to 1.6 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 74%, over 2.5 goals around 79%. Draw no bet leans Caerau (Ely) at 58%; double chance reads Caerau (Ely) or draw 70%, Swansea University or draw 58%.
Caerau (Ely) arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 13 scored and 16 conceded. Recent results: L 1-5 v Swansea University, W 4-2 @ Trethomas Bluebirds, D 1-1 v Ynyshir Albions, L 3-4 @ Carmarthen Town.
Swansea University are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 15 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 @ Caerau (Ely), W 3-0 v llanelli AFC, W 3-0 @ Baglan Dragons, W 3-0 @ Llantwit Major.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
