Where the market is wrong on Šternberk v Bzenec
Šternberk meet Bzenec in the 4. liga - Divizie E group e - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 35% against 40%. Attacking output favors Bzenec on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.4 per match.
Šternberk arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 13 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Bzenec, L 1-6 @ Tatran Všechovice, L 1-3 v Slavičín, W 6-0 @ Nové Sady.
Bzenec are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 7 scored and 18 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Šternberk, L 3-6 v Strání, L 1-3 v SK Krumvir, L 0-4 @ Tatran Všechovice.
Bzenec hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 2 drawn across the last 9 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Šternberk 1-0 Bzenec.
The market prices ŠTE at 56% implied. Our number sits apart on Bzenec: a 16.2-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
