Melville United v Hibiscus Coast: the model read
Melville United meet Hibiscus Coast in the Chatham Cup round of 16. The model makes Hibiscus Coast the most likely outcome at 52%, with the full read 23% MEL, 25% draw, 52% HIB.
Hibiscus Coast rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1696 to 1477. Recent form leans Hibiscus Coast, 75% against 43%. Attacking output favors Hibiscus Coast on expected goals, 2.9 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 71%, over 2.5 goals around 88%. Draw no bet leans Hibiscus Coast at 70%; double chance reads Melville United or draw 48%, Hibiscus Coast or draw 77%.
Melville United arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 11 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Hibiscus Coast, L 1-7 @ Auckland United, W 1-0 v Manurewa, D 1-1 @ Auckland.
Hibiscus Coast are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 12 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 v Napier City Rovers, W 1-0 @ Melville United, L 0-1 @ Western Springs, W 5-0 v Waikato Unicol.
Hibiscus Coast hold the recent head-to-head, 2 wins to 0 across the last 2 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Melville United 0-1 Hibiscus Coast.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 56 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
