Where the market is wrong on Penybont v Airbus UK
Penybont meet Airbus UK in the Premier League regular season - 11 at Bryntirion Park, Bridgend.
The baseline ratings are close, 1613 to 1638, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 66% against 65%. Attacking output favors Airbus UK on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.4 per match.
Penybont arrive surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 12 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v Airbus UK, W 5-1 @ Ammanford AFC, W 3-2 v Briton Ferry, W 1-0 @ Trefelin.
Airbus UK are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 @ Penybont, W 4-1 v Flint Town United, L 0-3 @ GAP Connah S Quay FC, L 0-2 v The New Saints.
Penybont hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 1 across the last 7 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Penybont 2-1 Airbus UK.
The market prices PEN at 52% implied. Our number sits apart on Airbus UK: a 14.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 81 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
