Where the market is wrong on Fremad Amager v Naestved
Fremad Amager meet Naestved in the 2. Division regular season - 8.
The baseline ratings are close, 1516 to 1573, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Naestved, 61% against 53%. Attacking output favors Naestved on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.5 per match.
Fremad Amager arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 v HIK, D 1-1 @ Middelfart, D 2-2 v Thisted FC, D 1-1 v Roskilde.
Naestved are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 7 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Thisted FC, D 1-1 @ B 93, W 2-1 @ Skive, L 0-2 v VSK Århus.
Fremad Amager hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Fremad Amager 2-3 Naestved.
The market prices FRE at 35% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
