Where the market is wrong on 1. FC Köln v Werder Bremen
1. FC Köln meet Werder Bremen in the Bundesliga regular season - 3 at RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne.
The baseline ratings are close, 1443 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Werder Bremen, 55% against 43%. Attacking output favors 1. FC Köln on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.9 per match.
1. FC Köln arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 10 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ VfB Stuttgart, W 3-2 v 1899 Hoffenheim, W 2-1 @ Würzburger Kickers, W 2-1 v Real Sociedad.
Werder Bremen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v RB Leipzig, L 1-4 @ SC Freiburg, W 3-0 @ Lüneburger SK Hansa, L 0-1 v Auxerre.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: 1. FC Köln 3-1 Werder Bremen.
The market prices 1. at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Werder Bremen: a 14.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 83 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
