FSV Mainz 05 v SC Paderborn 07: the model read
FSV Mainz 05 meet SC Paderborn 07 in the Bundesliga regular season - 1 at Mewa Arena, Mainz. The model makes FSV Mainz 05 the most likely outcome at 42%, with the full read 42% FSV, 27% draw, 31% SC .
The baseline ratings are close, 1592 to 1604, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 63% against 65%. Attacking output favors FSV Mainz 05 on expected goals, 2.4 to 1.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans FSV Mainz 05 at 58%; double chance reads FSV Mainz 05 or draw 69%, SC Paderborn 07 or draw 58%.
FSV Mainz 05 arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 28 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v 1. FC Kaiserslautern, W 10-0 @ Eisbachtal, W 11-0 @ Pfeddersheim, W 2-0 @ 1. FC Heidenheim.
SC Paderborn 07 are in good touch: 3W-2D-0L from their last five (11/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-1 v Fagiano Okayama, W 2-1 v VfL Wolfsburg, D 0-0 @ VfL Wolfsburg, W 2-0 @ SV Darmstadt 98.
FSV Mainz 05 hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2020: FSV Mainz 05 2-0 SC Paderborn 07.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
