Valenciennes v Villefranche: the model read
Valenciennes meet Villefranche in the National 1 regular season - 14 at Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes. The model makes Valenciennes the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 37% VAL, 31% draw, 32% VIL.
The baseline ratings are close, 1504 to 1471, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 44%. Attacking output favors Villefranche on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.2 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 51%, over 2.5 goals around 46%. Draw no bet leans Valenciennes at 53%; double chance reads Valenciennes or draw 68%, Villefranche or draw 63%.
Valenciennes arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 8 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 3-0 @ Eastleigh, D 1-1 @ Kortrijk, W 2-0 @ Dunkerque, D 2-2 v Chateauroux.
Villefranche are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 7 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 2-5 @ Grenoble, D 2-2 @ Concarneau, L 0-1 @ Bourg-en-bresse 01, L 0-3 @ Caen.
Valenciennes hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 with 1 drawn across the last 5 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Villefranche 2-3 Valenciennes.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
