Where the market is wrong on Leobendorf v Oberwart
Leobendorf meet Oberwart in the Regionalliga - Ost ost - 5 at Franz Haas Stadion, Leobendorf.
Oberwart rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1661 to 1400. Recent form leans Oberwart, 70% against 33%. Attacking output favors Oberwart on expected goals, 2.6 to 1.0 per match.
Leobendorf arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ Favoritner AC, L 0-1 v Oberwart, L 4-5 @ Traiskirchen, D 0-0 v SV Horn.
Oberwart are in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 11 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Donau, W 1-0 @ Leobendorf, W 5-2 v Wienerberg, W 4-1 @ Fach-Donaufeld.
The market prices LEO at 31% implied. Our number sits apart on Oberwart: a 9.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 80 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
