Where the market is wrong on Traiskirchen v Leobendorf
Traiskirchen meet Leobendorf in the Regionalliga - Ost ost - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1431, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Traiskirchen, 55% against 38%. Attacking output favors Traiskirchen on expected goals, 2.2 to 1.3 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 77%, over 2.5 goals around 82%. Draw no bet leans Traiskirchen at 58%; double chance reads Traiskirchen or draw 70%, Leobendorf or draw 58%.
Traiskirchen arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 16 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 5-4 v Leobendorf, W 4-3 @ Wienerberg, L 0-1 v Fach-Donaufeld, D 3-3 @ Scheiblingkirchen.
Leobendorf are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 6 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 4-5 @ Traiskirchen, D 0-0 v SV Horn, W 1-0 @ Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf, D 1-1 v Parndorf.
The market prices TRA at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Leobendorf: a 3.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 53 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
