Where the market is wrong on Deportivo Alavés W v Barcelona W
Deportivo Alavés W meet Barcelona W in the Primera División Femenina regular season - 4 at Estadio Mendizorrotza, Vitoria-Gasteiz.
Barcelona W rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1857 to 1400. Recent form leans Barcelona W, 98% against 33%. Attacking output favors Barcelona W on expected goals, 4.0 to 1.2 per match.
Deportivo Alavés W arrive steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 5 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Granada, L 0-1 @ Atletico Madrid W, W 2-0 v Valencia W, D 1-1 v Alhama W.
Barcelona W are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 19 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 4-2 v Atletico Madrid W, W 4-0 @ Sevilla W, W 5-0 v Granad. Tenerife W, W 4-0 @ Madrid CFF W.
Barcelona W hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 0 across the last 4 meetings. Most recently they met in 2023: Deportivo Alavés W 0-4 Barcelona W.
The market prices DEP at 2% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 12.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 60 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
