Lorca Deportiva v Elche II: the model read
Lorca Deportiva meet Elche II in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 group 3 - 1. The model makes Elche II the most likely outcome at 40%, with the full read 29% LOR, 31% draw, 40% ELC.
The baseline ratings are close, 1431 to 1523, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Elche II, 53% against 40%. Attacking output favors Elche II on expected goals, 1.7 to 0.8 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 44%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Elche II at 58%; double chance reads Lorca Deportiva or draw 60%, Elche II or draw 71%.
Lorca Deportiva arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 3 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Deportiva Minera, D 2-2 v Yeclano, L 0-2 @ Águilas, L 0-1 v Xerez.
Elche II are steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 6 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Quintanar del Rey, L 0-4 @ CD Coria, L 0-1 v Rayo Majadahonda, W 3-1 @ Tenerife II.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
