Where the market is wrong on Gernika v Llanera
Gernika meet Llanera in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 group 1 - 3.
Llanera rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1707 to 1466. Recent form leans Llanera, 78% against 45%. Attacking output favors Llanera on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.3 per match.
Gernika arrive in good touch: 2W-3D-0L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 2 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 v Llanera, W 4-0 @ Arosa, D 2-2 v Bergantiños, D 0-0 v Deportivo Alavés II.
Llanera are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts, 3 straight defeats), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-4 @ Gernika, L 1-2 v Deportivo Alavés II, L 1-2 @ Gimnástica Torrelavega, D 2-2 @ Sporting Gijón II.
Gernika hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Gernika 4-0 Llanera.
The market prices GER at 49% implied. Our number sits apart on Llanera: a 23.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 84 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
