Where the market is wrong on Rilski Sportist v Pirin Blagoevgrad
Rilski Sportist meet Pirin Blagoevgrad in the Second League regular season - 11 at Stadion Iskar, undefined.
The baseline ratings are close, 1496 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Rilski Sportist, 47% against 13%. Attacking output favors Rilski Sportist on expected goals, 1.0 to 0.6 per match.
Rilski Sportist arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 3 straight wins), 9 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Pirin Blagoevgrad, W 3-1 @ Marek, W 2-0 v Yantra 2019, L 1-2 @ Nesebar.
Pirin Blagoevgrad are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 1 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Rilski Sportist, L 1-2 v Fratria, L 0-3 @ Marek, L 0-3 v Ludogorets II.
Rilski Sportist hold the recent head-to-head, 1 wins to 0 across the last 1 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Rilski Sportist 1-0 Pirin Blagoevgrad.
The market prices RIL at 81% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 16.8-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 54 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
