Hebar 1918 v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas

Hebar 1918 meet Chernomorets 1919 Burgas in the Second League regular season - 5 at Stadion Georgi Benkovski, Pazardzhik.

The baseline ratings are close, 1444 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, 50% against 39%. Attacking output favors Hebar 1918 on expected goals, 1.3 to 1.1 per match.

Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 46%, over 2.5 goals around 41%. Draw no bet leans Chernomorets 1919 Burgas at 54%; double chance reads Hebar 1918 or draw 63%, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas or draw 69%.

Hebar 1918 arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 10 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, W 3-2 @ Pirin Blagoevgrad, L 3-4 @ CSKA Sofia II, L 2-3 v Vihren.

Chernomorets 1919 Burgas are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Hebar 1918, L 0-1 v CSKA Sofia II, D 1-1 @ Vihren, W 1-0 v Beroe.

The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Hebar 1918 1-0 Chernomorets 1919 Burgas.

The market prices HEB at 41% implied. Our number sits apart on Chernomorets 1919 Burgas: a 7.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.

MeisterIQ rates the signal 69 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.