Where the market is wrong on Albacete v Eibar
Albacete meet Eibar in the Segunda División regular season - 8 at Carlos Belmonte, Albacete.
Eibar rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1650 to 1466. Recent form leans Eibar, 70% against 43%. Attacking output favors Eibar on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.1 per match.
Albacete arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 2 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Girona, L 1-2 v Cordoba, D 1-1 @ Granada CF, L 0-2 @ Castellón.
Eibar are surging: 5W-0D-0L from their last five (15/15 pts, 5 straight wins), 13 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 v Las Palmas, W 2-1 @ Eldense, W 4-0 @ Celta de Vigo II, W 3-0 v Granada CF.
Eibar hold the recent head-to-head, 3 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 8 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Albacete 0-3 Eibar.
The market prices ALB at 34% implied. Our number sits apart on Eibar: a 7.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 74 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
