Where the market is wrong on Mallorca v Almeria
Mallorca meet Almeria in the Segunda División regular season - 7 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma.
The baseline ratings are close, 1615 to 1569, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 65% against 57%. Attacking output favors Mallorca on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Mallorca arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 6 scored and 1 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Almeria, W 1-0 @ Real Sociedad II, W 2-0 v Sabadell, D 0-0 @ Eldense.
Almeria are in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts, 4 straight wins), 8 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 @ Mallorca, W 2-0 v Celta de Vigo II, W 2-0 @ Cordoba, W 3-2 v Cadiz.
Mallorca hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mallorca 0-1 Almeria.
The market prices MAL at 46% implied. Our number sits apart on Almeria: a 5.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
