Where the market is wrong on Celta de Vigo II v Sabadell
Celta de Vigo II meet Sabadell in the Segunda División regular season - 7 at Municipal de Balaídos, Vigo.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1553, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 57% against 58%. Attacking output favors Celta de Vigo II on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.3 per match.
Celta de Vigo II arrive patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 4 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Sabadell, L 0-2 @ Almeria, L 0-4 v Eibar, W 2-0 @ AD Ceuta FC.
Sabadell are in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts), 8 scored and 6 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Celta de Vigo II, W 3-1 v Oviedo, L 0-2 @ Mallorca, W 3-2 v Cordoba.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Celta de Vigo II 1-1 Sabadell.
The market prices CEL at 28% implied. Our number sits apart on Celta de Vigo II: a 5.5-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 50 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
