Where the market is wrong on Pelikan Łowicz v Swit
Pelikan Łowicz meet Swit in the III Liga - Group 1 group i - 7.
The baseline ratings are close, 1432 to 1456, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 39% against 42%. Attacking output favors Swit on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Pelikan Łowicz arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 4-1 v Swit, L 1-2 @ Ząbkovia Ząbki, D 1-1 v Troszyn, L 0-3 @ Jagiellonia II.
Swit are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: L 1-4 @ Pelikan Łowicz, W 2-1 v Warta Sieradz, D 0-0 @ Wigry Suwałki, L 1-2 v Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki.
Swit hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 2 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pelikan Łowicz 4-1 Swit.
The market prices PEL at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 3.3-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
