Where the market is wrong on Kotwica Kórnik v Bałtyk Koszalin
Kotwica Kórnik meet Bałtyk Koszalin in the III Liga - Group 2 group ii - 4.
The baseline ratings are close, 1408 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Bałtyk Koszalin, 45% against 35%. Attacking output favors Kotwica Kórnik on expected goals, 1.4 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 56%. Draw no bet leans Bałtyk Koszalin at 52%; double chance reads Kotwica Kórnik or draw 64%, Bałtyk Koszalin or draw 67%.
Kotwica Kórnik arrive out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 4 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Victoria Września, L 0-1 v Bałtyk Koszalin, D 2-2 v Kalisz, L 0-2 @ Flota Świnoujście.
Bałtyk Koszalin are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Kalisz, W 1-0 @ Kotwica Kórnik, L 1-2 v Flota Świnoujście, D 1-1 @ Luzino.
The market prices KOT at 44% implied. Our number sits apart on Bałtyk Koszalin: a 5.9-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 66 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output