Erlbach v Deisenhofen: the model read
Erlbach meet Deisenhofen in the Oberliga - Bayern Süd bayern süd - 3. The model makes Erlbach the most likely outcome at 39%, with the full read 39% ERL, 30% draw, 31% DEI.
The baseline ratings are close, 1523 to 1477, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 50% against 48%. Attacking output favors Erlbach on expected goals, 1.5 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 55%, over 2.5 goals around 53%. Draw no bet leans Erlbach at 55%; double chance reads Erlbach or draw 69%, Deisenhofen or draw 61%.
Erlbach arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts), 7 scored and 3 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 @ Landshut, W 3-0 v Hankofen-Hailing, W 2-0 @ Pipinsried, W 2-0 v Schalding-Heining.
Deisenhofen are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 8 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: D 2-2 v Kirchanschöring, W 2-0 @ Gundelfingen, L 0-2 v TSV 1860 München, L 0-3 @ Kottern.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
