France v Sweden: the model read
France meet Sweden in the World Cup round of 32 at MetLife Stadium, New-York.
France rate clearly stronger on the baseline, 1719 to 1512. Recent form leans France, 78% against 50%. Attacking output favors France on expected goals, 2.5 to 1.9 per match.
France arrive in good touch: 3W-0D-2L from their last five (9/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 4-6 v England, L 0-2 v Spain, W 2-0 v Morocco, W 1-0 @ Paraguay.
Sweden are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-3 @ France, D 1-1 @ Japan, L 1-5 @ Netherlands, W 5-1 v Tunisia.
France hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 2 across the last 6 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: France 3-0 Sweden.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
