Where the market is wrong on Armagh City v Dundela
Armagh City meet Dundela in the Championship regular season - 9.
The baseline ratings are close, 1400 to 1443, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Dundela, 45% against 20%. Attacking output favors Dundela on expected goals, 1.6 to 0.7 per match.
Armagh City arrive out of sorts: 0W-2D-3L from their last five (2/15 pts), 5 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Dundela, D 0-0 @ Loughgall, L 3-5 v Institute, D 2-2 @ Newry City AFC.
Dundela are steady: 2W-2D-1L from their last five (8/15 pts), 11 scored and 10 conceded. Recent results: W 2-0 @ Armagh City, D 1-1 v Strabane Athletic, D 5-5 @ Newington Youth, W 3-2 v Glenavon FC.
Dundela hold the recent head-to-head, 5 wins to 3 with 2 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Armagh City 0-2 Dundela.
The market prices ARM at 22% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.0-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 55 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
