Where the market is wrong on Charlton v Preston
Charlton meet Preston in the Championship regular season - 3 at The Valley, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1512 to 1400, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Charlton, 50% against 24%. Attacking output favors Preston on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Charlton arrive in good touch: 4W-0D-1L from their last five (12/15 pts), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 1-0 v Preston, L 1-5 @ Tottenham, W 2-1 @ West Ham, W 2-1 v Derby.
Preston are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 v Bristol City, L 0-1 @ Charlton, L 0-4 v Everton, L 1-3 v Wolves.
The market prices CHA at 45% implied. Our number sits apart on Preston: a 3.1-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 52 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
