Where the market is wrong on Cliftonville FC v Glentoran
Cliftonville FC meet Glentoran in the Premiership regular season - 8 at Solitude, Belfast.
The baseline ratings are close, 1553 to 1454, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Cliftonville FC, 53% against 43%. Attacking output favors Glentoran on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.5 per match.
Cliftonville FC arrive steady: 2W-0D-3L from their last five (6/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 7 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 1-2 v Glentoran, L 0-2 @ Larne, W 3-1 @ Carrick Rangers, W 3-1 v Portadown.
Glentoran are patchy: 1W-1D-3L from their last five (4/15 pts), 6 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 2-1 @ Cliftonville FC, L 1-2 v Coleraine FC, D 1-1 v Bangor, L 1-2 @ Larne.
The market prices CLI at 29% implied. Our number sits apart on Cliftonville FC: a 6.4-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
