Mixco v Marquense: the model read
Mixco meet Marquense in the Liga Nacional regular season - 3. The model makes Mixco the most likely outcome at 36%, with the full read 36% MIX, 31% draw, 33% MAR.
The baseline ratings are close, 1546 to 1500, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 55% against 48%. Attacking output favors Mixco on expected goals, 1.2 to 1.1 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 49%, over 2.5 goals around 43%. Draw no bet leans Mixco at 52%; double chance reads Mixco or draw 67%, Marquense or draw 64%.
Mixco arrive patchy: 1W-0D-4L from their last five (3/15 pts, 4 straight defeats), 2 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ CD Olimpia, L 0-2 @ Municipal, L 0-5 @ Municipal, L 0-2 v Municipal.
Marquense are out of sorts: 0W-1D-4L from their last five (1/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 3 scored and 13 conceded. Recent results: L 1-3 @ Antigua GFC, L 0-2 @ Xelajú, D 1-1 v Xelajú, L 0-4 @ Guastatoya.
The recent head-to-head is even, 3 apiece with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Mixco 2-1 Marquense.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
