Where the market is wrong on Dečić v Mornar
Dečić meet Mornar in the First League regular season - 9 at Tusko, Tuzi.
The baseline ratings are close, 1489 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Mornar, 60% against 48%. Attacking output favors Dečić on expected goals, 1.1 to 1.0 per match.
Dečić arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 7 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 v Mornar, L 0-2 @ Sutjeska, D 1-1 v Petrovac, L 0-2 @ Mladost DG.
Mornar are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 4 scored and 4 conceded. Recent results: D 1-1 @ Dečić, L 0-1 v Otrant-Olympic, L 0-1 @ Sutjeska, W 2-0 v Bokelj.
Dečić hold the recent head-to-head, 4 wins to 3 with 3 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Dečić 1-1 Mornar.
The market prices DEČ at 38% implied. Our number sits apart on the draw: a 4.7-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 62 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
