Pogoń Siedlce v Stal Mielec: the model read
Pogoń Siedlce meet Stal Mielec in the I Liga regular season - 6 at Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce.
The baseline ratings are close, 1474 to 1471, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form separates little, 44% against 44%. Attacking output favors Stal Mielec on expected goals, 1.8 to 1.2 per match.
Pogoń Siedlce arrive in good touch: 3W-1D-1L from their last five (10/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 8 scored and 5 conceded. Recent results: W 3-2 @ Kluczevia Stargard, W 2-0 v Stal Mielec, L 0-1 @ Lechia Gdansk, W 1-0 v Polonia Warszawa.
Stal Mielec are patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts, 2 straight defeats), 9 scored and 12 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 @ Pogoń Siedlce, L 0-4 @ ŁKS Łódź, W 5-2 v Polonia Bytom, D 1-1 v Stal Rzeszów.
The recent head-to-head is even, 1 apiece with 1 drawn across the last 3 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Pogoń Siedlce 2-0 Stal Mielec.
The market prices POG at 32% implied. Our number sits apart on Pogoń Siedlce: a 1.6-point gap between model and market. That gap is the story, not the winner.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
