Tottenham v Aston Villa: the model read
Tottenham meet Aston Villa in the Premier League regular season - 5 at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London.
The baseline ratings are close, 1569 to 1489, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Tottenham, 60% against 45%. Attacking output favors Aston Villa on expected goals, 1.9 to 1.4 per match.
Tottenham arrive steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts), 10 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: L 0-2 v Newcastle, W 5-1 v Charlton, L 0-3 @ Brentford, D 2-2 v 1899 Hoffenheim.
Aston Villa are out of sorts: 0W-0D-5L from their last five (0/15 pts, 5 straight defeats), 3 scored and 11 conceded. Recent results: L 0-1 v Arsenal, L 0-4 @ Brighton, L 1-2 @ Borussia Mönchengladbach, L 1-2 @ Paris Saint Germain.
Aston Villa hold the recent head-to-head, 7 wins to 3 across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Aston Villa 1-2 Tottenham.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
