Everton v Crystal Palace: the model read
Everton meet Crystal Palace in the Premier League regular season - 1 at Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool. The model makes Crystal Palace the most likely outcome at 37%, with the full read 33% EVE, 30% draw, 37% CRY.
The baseline ratings are close, 1477 to 1558, so form and chance quality carry more weight here. Recent form leans Crystal Palace, 57% against 48%. Attacking output favors Crystal Palace on expected goals, 1.6 to 1.5 per match.
Across the derived markets, from the same model: both teams to score around 59%, over 2.5 goals around 57%. Draw no bet leans Crystal Palace at 53%; double chance reads Everton or draw 63%, Crystal Palace or draw 67%.
Everton arrive patchy: 1W-2D-2L from their last five (5/15 pts), 10 scored and 9 conceded. Recent results: W 4-0 @ Dundee, L 0-1 @ Tottenham, L 1-3 v Sunderland, D 2-2 @ Crystal Palace.
Crystal Palace are steady: 2W-1D-2L from their last five (7/15 pts, 2 straight wins), 9 scored and 8 conceded. Recent results: W 5-1 v Swindon Town, W 1-0 v Rayo Vallecano, L 1-2 v Arsenal, D 2-2 @ Brentford.
Everton hold the recent head-to-head, 6 wins to 0 with 4 drawn across the last 10 meetings. Most recently they met in 2026: Crystal Palace 2-2 Everton.
Market prices for this fixture have not settled yet. The edge reads as soon as real odds arrive.
MeisterIQ rates the signal 51 of 100. Every input above is on the card; check the work before you trust the number.
Written from the MeisterIQ model output
